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IT IS NOT THE STRONGEST OF THE SPECIES THAT SURVIVES, NOR THE MOST INTELLIGENT, BUT THE ONES MOST ADAPTABLE TO CHANGE. - CHARLES DARWIN

Thursday, October 18, 2012

Global CAPE Model Optimization

Check out our new whitepaper, published in collaboration with Mebane Faber, and based on his recently published 'Global Value: Building Trading Models with the 10-Year CAPE':



Download it here.
Posted by GestaltU at 10:32 AM
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Histogram of Rolling 20-Year Real Total Returns to U.S. Stocks


Posted by GestaltU at 10:23 AM
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Finally, it is the long term investor, he who most promotes the public interest, who will in practice come in for the most criticism, wherever investment funds are managed by committees, boards, or banks.

For it is the essence of his behaviour that he should be eccentric, unconventional, and rash in the eyes of average opinion.

If he is successful, that will only confirm the general belief in his rashness; and if in the short run he is unsuccessful, which is very likely, he will not receive much mercy.

Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally.

John Maynard Keynes, 1936

Darwin Investment Strategies

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The opinions, estimates and projections contained herein are those of the author as of the date hereof and are subject to change without notice and may not reflect those of Macquarie Private Wealth Inc. (MPW). Every effort has been made to ensure that the contents of this document have been compiled or derived from sources believed to be reliable and contains information and opinions which are accurate and complete. However, neither the author nor MPW makes any representation or warranty, expressed or implied, in respect thereof, or takes any responsibility for any errors or omissions which may be contained herein or accepts any liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of or reliance on this report or its contents. Past performance may not be repeated. Information may be available to MPW which is not reflected herein. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or a solicitation for or an offer to buy any securities. Macquarie Private Wealth Inc. is a member of Canadian Investor Protection Fund and IIROC.

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